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AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL DEEPENING ON AGGREGATE WELFARE IN NIGERIA

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TABLE OF CONTENT
Title page………………………………………………………………………….. I
Certification………………………………………………………………………. II
Dedication………………………………………………………………………… III
Acknowledgement……………………………………………………………….. IV
Table of content…………………………………………………………………… V
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background of the study………… …………………………………………… 1
1.2 Statement of problem…………………………… …………………………….. 8
1.3 Research questions……………………… …………………………………….. 10
1.4 Objective of the study………………………………………………………….. 10
1.5 Hypothesis of the study………………………………………………………… 10
1.6 Policy relevance……………………….………………………………………. 10
1.7 The scope of the study………………………….……………………………… 11
1.8 Source of Data and Econometric Software Used …………………………….. 11
CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Conceptual Framework………………………………………………………. 12
2.2 Theories of framework deepening and its link to aggregate welfare………… 13
2.2.1 The Indirect channel through growth ………………………………………. 14
2.2 2 The direct channel through access to financial services …………………… 16
2.3 Empirical literature……………………………………………………………. 19
2.3.1 Cross country evidence…………………………………………………….. 19
2.3.2 Country Specific Evidence ………………………………………………… 22
2.4 Efforts towards deepening the Financial system in Nigeria…………………… 23
2.5 Limitations of previous studies……………………………………………….. 24
CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLGY
3.1 Analytical framework…………………………………………………………. 25
3.2 The model…………………………………………………………………….. 26
3.2.1 Model specification…………………………………………………………. 26
3.2.1Model 1…………………………………………………….. ….……………. 28
3.2.1 Model 2……………………………………………………………………… 28
3.2.1 Model 3…… ……………………………………………………………….. 28
3.2.2 The ARDL-ECM……………………….…………………………………… 28
3.2.3 Unit root …………………………………………………………………….. 28
3.3 Estimation procedure………………………………………………………….. 29
3.4 Justification of the model……………………………………………………… 29
3.5 Statistical criteria …………………………………………………………….. 30
3.6 Description of Variables……………………………………………………… 30
CHAPTER THREE: PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS OF ECONOMETRIC
RESULTS
4.1 Unit root tests………………………………………………………………… 32
4.1.2 Trend properties of the variables………..………………………………….. 35
4.2 Result presentations…………………………………………………………… 37
4.3 Bound test for co-integration…………………………………………………. 40
4.4 Interpretation of ARDL results……………………………………………….. 41
4.5 Discussion of findings…………………………………………………………..42
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4.6 Implications of the findings…………….……………………………………… 43
4.7 Interpretation of Diagnostic tests……………………………………………… 43
CHAPTER FIVE: POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSION
5.1 Summary……………………………………………………………………….. 48
5.2 Policy recommendations……………………………………………………….. 48
5.3 Conclusions…………………………………………………………………….. 49
References

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